Two things from Europe are worth some discussion.
In Italy, the president, Sergio Mattarella, rejected a proposed government advanced by a coalition of populist parties from both left and right. In the words of the FT, Mattarella “faced down” the populists–who just happened to have won the elections, and who trounced the “mainstream” EU-philic parties. In so doing, the president was following hallowed EU tradition: the proles will vote until they get it right!
Ostensibly the reason for the rejection was the inclusion of a hardcore opponent of the Euro as the Finance Minister. No doubt that was a convenient pretext.
The EU proclaims that it is democratic, and EU politicians routinely blast Trump and Orban and others for being authoritarian. The EU is in fact demonstrably anti-democratic, and objectively far more authoritarian than those it excoriates as such. Mattarella’s actions are clearly authoritarian and anti-democratic.
No doubt the EU sees Italy’s incipient rebellion against it, and the Euro, as a mortal threat. They should. But the reaction–thwarting the results of an election, rather than mounting a persuasive campaign that appeals to voters and addresses their concerns–reflects a weird combination of arrogance and defensiveness. This is the reaction of frightened people who understand at some level that theirs is a deeply flawed project, and that they have no idea on how to address these flaws. S0 rather than addressing the sources of discontent, or even attempting to understand them in a serious way, they attempt to suppress its expression–even (especially?) when that expression occurs at the ballot box. Incapable of facing them down in an election, the EU oligarchy must resort to facing them down through undemocratic means.
The other case is that of Tommy Robinson in the UK. Robinson is a notorious critic of Muslim immigration into the UK. He has been routinely accused of “racism” (though last time I checked, Islam was not a race): given the promiscuity with which that term is thrown about, I always treat it with skepticism. It is the default way in establishment circles to discredit those who challenge orthodoxy, a low form of ad hominem intended to silence and ostracize. Being an actual racist may be a sufficient condition for being called a racist, but it is not a necessary one. So the fact that someone is called a racist tells me exactly nothing.
Robinson is in the news–well, sort of, as will soon become clear–for having been arrested and incarcerated (after a “trial” lasting minutes), for livecasting from the outside of a courthouse where a group of child rapists, who happen to be Muslim, are on trial.
The charge against Robinson was that he violated the terms of his suspended sentence. Said sentence was not for any conduct remotely related to his activism, or racism, but for providing misleading information on a mortgage application. (Arguably the original charge was pretextual, but leave that aside for the moment.) But the judge leapt at the opportunity to clap Robinson behind bars for daring to call attention to one of the most sordid and colossal failures of the British establishment.*
But that’s not the most outrageous thing here. The judge also imposed a gag order forbidding any reporting on Robinson’s arrest and incarceration in the British press. Several outlets that had posted articles online immediately took them down.
This is revealing on so many levels. Again, it betrays a deep fear–bordering on panic–in the establishment of the wrath that hoi polloi may visit on them. (Tim Newman argues this persuasively.) The judge obviously fears that Robinson may become a cause célèbre, meaning that the judge believes that large numbers of Britons are “racists” just like Tommy Robinson who might rally around him and challenge the elite.
Again, not the act of a confident elite–the act of a very shaken one. (Brexit likely being a major contributor to this self-doubt.)
Further, it illustrates the degree of intimidation and fear among the hoi polloi that the elite fears. Tommy Robinson is hardly a polished fellow. He is arguably a dodgy one. His name is itself revealing. It is not his given name, but a pseudonym taken from a prominent football hooligan in his hometown of Luton.
But as the judge clearly fears, Robinson evidently represents the views of a large portion of the British populace. Yet though many agree, few speak out, and it is left to a marginal and truculent figure to launch a kamikaze attack on the system. This illustrates the relentless and ruthless application of social pressure by the establishment–the politicians, the media, and the police, who repeatedly tell people that their social media posts are being monitored for “hate speech”–and the consequent intimidation of pretty much everybody but the likes of Tommy Robinson and a few like hi.
That is, silence and preference falsification are the rational responses of those who are deeply uneasy about the social changes that the UK has undergone. These responses are decidedly characteristic of repressive societies, not free ones.
The UK at present differs from China’s “Social Credit” system in degree, but not in kind. Social control enforced by the threat of ostracism and even imprisonment is a pervasive reality.
To which I say: thank God for the Revolution, and the Bill of Rights. There is no right to free speech in the UK as guaranteed by the First Amendment–and people are quite aware of that, and trim their expression accordingly.
I also repeat something that I have said often: the UK is the US’s Ghost of Christmas Future. Many of the same forces and fissions that are manifest in the Robinson affair are operating in the US. Again, the US has a better institutional bulwark against that, but given the disproportionate influence of the established elite in the institutions of government, the courts, media, and higher education, that is hardly secure.
There is also a more militant (Jacksonian) strain in the US, and it operates from a rather broad geographic base, which given the Constitution has political power (hence the left’s hostility to the Electoral College and the Senate). This geographical divide also gives many people a sense of solidarity and strength which makes them more willing to speak out: many Texans (e.g.) are willing to be more outspoken because the disapproval or ostracism of coastal elites has little adverse effect on them, and may indeed even bring approval from those in their lives who matter to them.
But progressivism is relentless, and American progressives want the US to be more like the UK, and the EU, with them in charge and the rest of us playing the part of obedient plebs.
So thank God for the Revolution, but don’t take it for granted.
*It is a revealing commentary on the Animal Farm some-animals-are-more-equal-than-others reality of modern Britain that in this day of the #MeToo movement, where the British press–and the FT in particular–goes on and on about gender pay equity and the lack of women in corporate board rooms, that anyone who dares speak out about the systematic rape of young women throughout Britain is running grave personal and legal risks. So is mistreatment of women–including rape–a big deal, or isn’t it? Apparently it depends on who does the mistreating, and what women are the victims.
Another observation of some note is that Robinson’s recording of the exterior of a British courthouse is considered a crime in a country where every public space is constantly under video surveillance. That speaks to the issue of repressiveness in Britain.