Streetwise Professor

November 13, 2011

Those Reset Dividends Keep Rolling In

Filed under: Military,Politics,Russia — The Professor @ 8:33 pm

Maybe Obama hasn’t heard that Medvedev is on his way out the door, and doesn’t speak for Russia–as if he ever really did:

President Barack Obama said the U.S. must be joined by Russia and China in a “common response” to keep up pressure on Iran over its nuclear program.

“We discussed Iran and reaffirmed our intention to work to shape a common response so that we can move Iran to follow its international obligations when its comes to its nuclear program,” Obama said after he and Russian President Dmitry Medvedev met in Honolulu where both are attending the Asia- Pacific Economic Cooperation forum.

Perhaps he has also failed to notice that rather than agreeing to a “common response” to Iran in the aftermath of a damning IAEA report, Russia has roundly criticized the report, and basically claimed that it is an American-led conspiracy against Iran:

A Russian government statement last Wednesday, by contrast, ridiculed it as “a compilation of well-known facts that have intentionally been given a politicized intonation.”

The Russian statement, which could be mistaken for something produced by the Iranian regime, alleged that the report’s authors “resort to assumptions and suspicions, and juggle information with the purpose of creating the impression that the Iranian nuclear program has a military component.”

A Russian government statement last Wednesday, by contrast, ridiculed it as “a compilation of well-known facts that have intentionally been given a politicized intonation.”

The Russian statement, which could be mistaken for something produced by the Iranian regime, alleged that the report’s authors “resort to assumptions and suspicions, and juggle information with the purpose of creating the impression that the Iranian nuclear program has a military component.”

. . . .

While Russia’s reaction to the IAEA report should serve as an embarrassment to those in Washington who touted the reset, more serious is the effect that continued Russian intransigence will have on preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear-weapons capability. In response to the report, Russia has said it would block any new sanctions by wielding its veto power at the United Nations Security Council. “The world community will see all additional sanctions against Iran as an instrument of regime change in Tehran,” Deputy Foreign Minister Gennady Gatilov told the Interfax News Agency. “This approach is unacceptable to us, and the Russian side does not intend to consider such a proposal.”

Yup.  That Reset thing is sure paying dividends.

Russia never had any intention of formulating a common response with the US on Iran–or any other issue of substance–unless that “common response” was fully in accord with the Russian position.  That’s fine.  I have no problems with that.  What is beyond problematic is an administration that insists on pretending that the interests of Russia and the US are aligned, when in fact they are clearly not.

And it is beyond ridiculous to include the emasculated lame duck Medvedev as a player in the charade, when anyone paying the slightest attention knows that he’s always been a laughingstock and that Putin has no interest in resolving the Iranian situation.

In fact, the reverse is almost certainly  the case.  Continued turmoil in the Gulf is a great way to keep the price of oil up and the US tied down–both of which Putin perceives to be major policy objectives.

I am not advocating confrontation with anything–except reality.  And few things are as unrealistic as a belief that Russia has any interest in forming a common front to restrain Iranian nuclear ambitions.  And nothing is less realistic than a belief that Dmitry Medvedev matters one whit when it comes to Russian foreign policy as he rides into obscurity, accompanied by the sound of scorning taunts.

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41 Comments »

  1. Of course Iran is building a bomb. Just ask that “former Soviet scientist” mentioned in the IAEA report who worked in a specialty that had zilch to do with nuclear weapons who visited Iran for several months in the 1990’s.

    That is because Iran is an Evil Baddie, as evidenced by their dastardly plot to assassinate the freedom-loving Saudi ambassador with the aid of Mexican narco-cartels and a used car salesman.

    As Hillary Clinton said of this (though probably not in the way she meant it), “You can’t make this stuff up, right?”

    Indeed, what freedom-hating madman would doubt them after Iraq?

    Meanwhile, Rick Perry (the poor deluded fool) gets his neck snapped up for raising the possibility that the US may cut off aid to Israel, while the Israelis in turn don’t even want to extend to their US client state the courtesy of alerting them to any attack on Iran they may carry out in the future.

    Comment by Sublime Oblivion — November 13, 2011 @ 9:49 pm

  2. The ironic thing is that a nuclear Iran would likely be a greater problem for Russia than for the US. I remember a while back some agency in the US wrote a report saying Iran’s nuclear ambitions are nothing to worry about, which made a few European heads spin. The US is playing the wrong tack here: they should ignore the problem completely, they’d soon find a few dozen countries begging them to take note.

    Comment by Tim Newman — November 13, 2011 @ 10:46 pm

  3. It will be a problem, first and foremost, for Saudi Arabia. Perhaps Israel.

    I do not see how it can be a problem for Russia, as Iran and Russia have coinciding interests on most international issues. Both dislike the Taliban. Both favor Armenia over Azerbaijan. Both are interested in tying up global gas markets as together they have around 75% of world natural gas reserves.

    Comment by Sublime Oblivion — November 13, 2011 @ 11:32 pm

  4. Yup-Riyadh is the easiest target.

    Missile miles from Tehran-

    Riyadh 800
    TelAviv 993
    Moscow 1500
    New York 6121

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 7:41 am

  5. Funny-from the rhetoric it is claer Putin doesn’t want American conventional anti missile systems in Eastern Europe but applauds the Mad Mullahs having nuclear missile capability 1500 miles from Moscow.

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 9:37 am

  6. There is a short interview in The Atlantic with Abu Walid al Masri about Iranian planning for a post US Afghanistan.

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 10:00 am

  7. Where’s the real Mr. X when you need him?

    http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/13/books/review/george-f-kennan-an-american-life-by-john-lewis-gaddis-book-review.html?pagewanted=all

    Comment by markets.aurelius — November 14, 2011 @ 11:56 am

  8. Excellent association, markets.aurelius. But I’m shocked by your suggestion that the Mr. X we all know and love is not George Kennan, communicating to us from the beyond!

    The ProfessorComment by The Professor — November 14, 2011 @ 12:40 pm

  9. Uh oh-I thought his message was based on Professor Xavier from X-Men-

    Yes we we are more powerful but the humans are good and only plotting to kill us out of ignorance. We must not hurt the humans.

    Sorry again X.

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 2:55 pm

  10. “Both are interested in tying up global gas markets as together they have around 75% of world natural gas reserves.” Well here I respectfully must disagree with S/O, as China’s share of global gas reserves has yet to be proven thanks to fracking. I know fracking supposedly poisons all groundwater and has a low return on energy invested, but the whole world can’t be run just on supergiant fields such as Yamal or in Turkmenistan.

    On the flip side though Russia’s got plenty of shale gas too and will be investing in shale gas plays all over the world, from Argentina to China to Texas-stan.

    And SWP, what did you think of Ron Paul only getting 89 seconds in the CBS debate? Or are you going to continue to pretend the MD from Surfside doesn’t exist for the purposes of this site? If you came out as a Ron Paul supporter some of those CME confab invites might mysteriously stop. You said I accused you of being a shill for the TBTF zombie banks and The Man. Well not really, I merely suggested you’re someone who could be an influential voice like Peter Schiff, Connie Duckworth (Government Sachs) or other people who knew how the game was played from the inside but chose to break with The Establishment. Someday that point will come for you, perhaps when even the Gosplan types in Washington can no longer pretend the Fed hasn’t created galloping inflation and deepened the economic collapse.

    And THE MAN clearly hates Ron Paul, the talking point about ‘there’s a top tier’ was so freakin’ obvious in that video Jon Stewart had to joke about it.

    Comment by Mr. X — November 14, 2011 @ 3:10 pm

  11. http://old.news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20111113/pl_nm/us_apec_obama_russia

    Barry Saetoro sez, “Don’t worry Dima, I’ve got a freakin’ Nobel Peace Prize, those stupid hippies gotta vote for me or they’re gonna end up with that temple garments wearing blow-dried dude who’s also in on our club. So you’re worried about this upcoming war with Iran? Don’t sweat it Dima, the New World Order will still let Lukoil and Gazpromneft in on the action when we seize…er…liberate Iran’s oil. We don’t want a nasty invasion or anything, we’re just gonna try to do it Gaddafi style. And if it takes ten years and 10 million Iranians, well, hey, the world’s overpopulated right?”

    Comment by Mr. X — November 14, 2011 @ 3:15 pm

  12. SWP’s feelings towards Ron Paul basically depend on the outcome of the internal race between his libertarian tendencies, and his sense of American exceptionalism and desire for confrontation abroad.

    So far it looks like the latter is winning hands down.

    Comment by Sublime Oblivion — November 14, 2011 @ 3:26 pm

  13. Ron Paul does not have a message that anyone could sell pre collpase. There is still far too much dumb happiness amongst the electorate. His message will sell much better post collapse.

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 3:58 pm

  14. Hmmm if they allow elections post-collapse.

    Comment by Mr. X — November 14, 2011 @ 6:09 pm

  15. Good point

    I liked your O comments to Dima Great description of Romney

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 6:34 pm

  16. “Those Reset Dividends Keep Rolling In”

    Oh, good Professor, but they do! Our little war in Afghanistan would be more difficult if Our assiduous servant Barack had to rely entirely on Pakistan for logistics, And Our upcoming war against Iran would be rather more complicated if Our assiduous servant Dima had sold S-300s to Iran.

    Comment by a — November 14, 2011 @ 7:03 pm

  17. Sublime-I just read your post about the return of The Hero King Putin and all I can say is Wow. After reading I really can’t understand why you do not move to Russia and fully savor return of The King. That American passport is just a hindrance to a higher level adoration. Get rid of it and do the right thing

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 7:38 pm

  18. My favorite comment this time was the one about Putin being the father of democracy. These commenters on this post had to be from Nashi.

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 7:45 pm

  19. “After reading I really can’t understand why you do not move to Russia and fully savor return of The King.”

    Excellent suggestion! Our hold on the American people will only strengthen if his ilk are sent packing.

    Comment by a — November 14, 2011 @ 8:30 pm

  20. The new United Russia commercial (http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=dK-nnASP7OY) Come on let’s do it together sets all kinds of new low standards. Putin has the political dialogue down to such a low level that the commercials are now done by some teen Nashi male?

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 8:36 pm

  21. a-I didn’t suggest he be sent packing to Russia but only that if he believes what he writes then I do not understand why he stays in the US. Life is too short to waste in some bleak place while it is entirely possible to live in the Putin Utopia.

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 8:40 pm

  22. Sublime-if you didn’t like the story about Sakhalin I can give you one about a project in Siberia, a limousine, a meeting on a vacant Moscow street corner, and a promise from the Kremlin to make the problems go away if due consideration was provided. It wasn’t and they didn’t.

    Comment by pahoben — November 14, 2011 @ 9:15 pm

  23. I do not see how it can be a problem for Russia, as Iran and Russia have coinciding interests on most international issues.

    I’m sure the Americans were equally confident, right up until 1979. When the current regime falls, as it surely will, it will be interesting to see what the next government thinks of a Russia which helped keep the old regime armed and in power for so long.

    Comment by Tim Newman — November 14, 2011 @ 11:29 pm

  24. As most Iranians are not pro-Western liberal traitors and do not hate their own country, they will presumably be pretty positive towards Russia for helping them build up a nuclear industry and selling them defensive arms when no-one else dared to.

    Comment by Sublime Oblivion — November 15, 2011 @ 12:05 am

  25. As most Iranians are not pro-Western liberal traitors and do not hate their own country, they will presumably be pretty positive towards Russia for helping them build up a nuclear industry and selling them defensive arms when no-one else dared to.

    They might not hate their own country, but they might wonder why the fuck their enlightened leadership built up a nuclear industry which they didn’t need at the price of commercial interaction with the rest of the world.

    Comment by Tim Newman — November 15, 2011 @ 5:51 am

  26. Ron Paul’s going to win Iowa. And we’re gonna be told by our media that it means nothing that Romney or Newt or some other compromised candidate who’s toast in the general election even against Obama is still the front runner. Obama has a floor of 39% he can’t drop below even if he totally alienates the white middle and working class because too many people still count on him for the goodies.

    Comment by Mr. X — November 15, 2011 @ 12:54 pm

  27. “They might not hate their own country, but they might wonder why the fuck their enlightened leadership built up a nuclear industry which they didn’t need…”

    Our dear Timothy,

    Despite the best efforts of Our paid intelligence agencies, we unfortunately have no evidence that the Iranian are enriching uranium beyond the levels required for electric power generation or medical research.

    Unfortunately, a decade may not be sufficient for Americans to forget the role Our paid intelligence agencies played in getting Our assiduous servant George’s excellent Iraq adventure with their tales of the Iraqi nuclear weapons program.

    Comment by a — November 15, 2011 @ 7:48 pm

  28. a-Parchin?

    Comment by pahoben — November 15, 2011 @ 10:06 pm

  29. Had Stalin had the balls to take over Iran after the war, we wouldn’t have this problem now. Instead he got North Korea.

    Comment by So? — November 15, 2011 @ 11:15 pm

  30. Despite the best efforts of Our paid intelligence agencies, we unfortunately have no evidence that the Iranian are enriching uranium beyond the levels required for electric power generation or medical research.

    Quite: not needed.

    Comment by Tim Newman — November 15, 2011 @ 11:28 pm

  31. I sincerely believe that every country should have the right to nuclear arms.

    The long dream of global peace will then be finally realizable. Imperialism will crumble, its proponents falling down the dustbin of history.

    Or we will ALL get to partake of the sweet sweet death that is nuclear apocalypse!

    Either way, the outcome is fair and equal for everyone.

    Comment by Sublime Oblivion — November 15, 2011 @ 11:54 pm

  32. I sincerely believe that every country should have the right to nuclear arms.

    I invite you to come and live in the vicinity of Nigeria’s first reactor.

    Comment by Tim Newman — November 16, 2011 @ 5:54 am

  33. For those who speak Russian, this is the real Russia:

    http://oleg-kozyrev.livejournal.com/3817223.html

    Comment by La Russophobe — November 16, 2011 @ 6:01 am

  34. Ron Paul and Pat Buchanan, two of the greatest American psychopaths who ever lived, love Vladimir Putin. That tells you all you need to know about the state of modern Russia. Oh yeah and, Barack loves him too!

    Comment by La Russophobe — November 16, 2011 @ 6:04 am

  35. “a-Parchin?”

    Ah, Pahoben! Thank you for restoring Our faith in the credulity of Western peoples! Did you know that Iran has been purchasing Nigerian yellowcake too?

    Our dear Timothy,

    Yes, those dirty Iranians have no need whatsoever of electrical power or medical isotopes, because We say so.

    Comment by a — November 16, 2011 @ 7:30 am

  36. Yes, those dirty Iranians have no need whatsoever of electrical power or medical isotopes, because We say so.

    Neither of which they need a nuclear industry to obtain.

    Comment by Tim Newman — November 16, 2011 @ 11:29 am

  37. Alas, dear Timothy, it is still Iran’s soverign right to have a civilian nuclear industry, though Our assiduous servants George and Barack have worked satisfyingly hard to deny that.

    And fortunately for Our well-paid intelligence agencies, any fool can proliferate questions beyond the capacity of the wisest to answer, or, as in the case of Our assiduous servant George’s excellent Iraq adventure, demand a degree of certainty that can only be met by invasion and occupation. 🙂

    It promises to be lucrative indeed for Us!

    Comment by a — November 16, 2011 @ 4:22 pm

  38. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AqCk57Slf3s

    Comment by Mr. X — November 16, 2011 @ 6:59 pm

  39. Alas, dear Timothy, it is still Iran’s soverign right to have a civilian nuclear industry…

    Yes, it is. And it is the right of free nations to choose whether or not they trade with Iran. The glorious Iranian leadership has decided that this is a price worth paying to exercise their sovereign right, and I have my doubts that the people will thank them for it.

    Comment by Tim Newman — November 16, 2011 @ 11:34 pm

  40. Indeed! And We hope these free nations soon exercise their sovereign right to utilize belligerent Jacksonian rhetoric and conveniently publicized intelligence to attack Iran on flimsy pretexts, like they did in the case of Our assiduous servant George’s excellent Iraq adventure!

    That was highly profitable for Us!

    Comment by a — November 17, 2011 @ 5:31 am

  41. More on a’s one worlder bosses here: http://www.zerohedge.com/news/mike-krieger-exposes-three-card-monti

    Comment by Mr. X — November 17, 2011 @ 7:51 pm

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