Streetwise Professor

September 10, 2012

Leave This One to the Market(s)

I’ve written about there being good HFT and bad HFT; HFT that enhances liquidity, and HFT that is predatory and attempts to exploit liquidity demanders (especially large traders).  Moreover, algorithmic trading (which may or may not be HFT, properly speaking) can potentially disrupt markets (e.g., the Knight Capital fiasco some weeks ago).

The question is: whatcha gonna do about the bad?  The knee-jerk response of many is to demand greater government regulation.  I have pointed out repeatedly, however, that this is an area where self-regulation is highly likely to be more efficient.  In particular, exchanges and other trading platforms have an incentive to design pricing structures and rules so as to reduce predatory trading, by HFT shops and others.  Predatory trading increases other market users’ trading costs, which reduces the derived demand for exchange services, thereby reducing the price the exchange can charge and the quantity of trading done on it.  Similarly, exchanges are hurt by disruptions caused by bad algos.

I’ve written a few posts on exchanges that have introduced pricing policies (e.g., charging high prices for “excessive” cancellations) with the specific purpose of reducing opportunistic trading.

Here is another example, this time from Forex:

Foreign exchange brokers are backing a series of changes unveiled by EBS, the world’s largest currency platform, designed to discourage predatory practices by high-frequency traders.

EBS, owned by interdealer broker ICAP, plans to widen the price spreads on its platform, raise targets on quote-to-buy ratios and set new quoting guidelines for Asian markets to discourage investors who exploit delays in technology to make money.

. . . .

Mr Mandelzis said that, while the changes were technical, they were aimed at encouraging genuine liquidity and discouraging disruptive behaviour, such as arbitraging prices.

With respect to dealing with the risk of runaway algos, CME and NYSE LIFFE are installing a kill switch functionality that permits FCMs to halt or limit trading activity by a malfunctioning algo:

Futures commissions merchants will be able to halt or limit trading activity at high speed on CME, operator of the world’s biggest futures exchange, and NYSE Liffe, one of the Europe’s dominant futures and options markets, if a computer begins to malfunction or a customer breaches risk limits.

Exchanges have an incentive to get these decisions right: they lose business if they basically provide hunting grounds for predatory HFTs or are unduly vulnerable to runaway algos.  Exchanges also have the information: they can observe what goes on on their systems, see who does what, and get feedback from customers.  Exchanges have a broad array of tools-outright bans on certain practices, and discriminating pricing policies. Exchanges are also able to move unilaterally and quickly.  In contrast, regulators have low powered incentives; poorer information; typically have blunt tools; and are less able to respond quickly and flexibly.  This is a clear case where self-regulation has advantages over government regulation.

This is particularly true in derivatives markets, where single platforms dominate a particular instrument.  Things may be more complex in equities, due to the potential spillovers across fragmented trading platforms.  But even there, the spillovers may be salutary.  A trading platform that clamps down (through pricing, for instance) on predatory arbs may push them to other platforms, but that just increases the incentive of those platforms to take action.  Moreover, different platforms have an incentive to compete to attract legitimate liquidity suppliers and liquidity demanders (especially the latter, since they are the ones that pay the freight), which means they have an incentive to compete to devise pricing schemes that penalize the predatory.

In brief, the task of reducing predatory computerized trading strategies should be left primarily to exchanges.  Predation will not disappear: it is almost never efficient to eliminate opportunistic/predatory conduct completely (because this would be too costly, primarily due to the fact that eliminating predatory conduct would almost certainly reduce some beneficial conduct), but exchanges have the strongest incentive, the best information, the most discriminating tools, and the greatest flexibility.  There will be an arms race between exchanges and predatory traders, but there would also be an arms race between government regulators and such traders.  Exchanges can run the race more efficiently and effectively.  Leave it up to them.

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2 Comments »

  1. Leave it up to them.

    Ooh, that’s a bit radical, isn’t it? You must be one of those American extremists the British media is always telling us about!

    Comment by Tim Newman — September 10, 2012 @ 11:31 pm

  2. @Tim. Yes. Yes I am one of those neoliberal hypercapitalist Americans. Lock up the women and children. I’m visiting the UK in 2 weeks.

    Re British media, you should check this out. This Sarah Montague, uhm, person is beyond belief. I’m surprised Niall Ferguson didn’t slap her silly.

    The ProfessorComment by The Professor — September 11, 2012 @ 9:13 am

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