Keeping up with Rogozin’s absurdities is damn near a full time job. The most recent:
Russia will start producing six submarines and one aircraft carrier annually starting in 2013, Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin said on Thursday.
“By 2013, production capacity [at Russian shipyards] will allow us to build six submarines and an aircraft carrier every year,” Rogozin told reporters, adding that the number includes both nuclear and diesel-powered submarines.
As a result, the production output will surpass that of the Soviet era when Russia built an average of five submarines annually, he said.
Six submarines. A year. And an aircraft carrier. Every year.
Complete and utter bologna.
For a more realistic take, consider Strategy Page:
The new Russian Graney (Yasen) class SSGN (nuclear powered cruise missile sub) has been delayed yet again. Undisclosed problems with the first Graney have postponed entering service for at least a year. That will mean, if the latest delay is the last one, the first Graney will enter service twenty years after construction began. These problems are not restricted to the Graney, as other new sub designs are also encountering numerous construction and design problems.Last February, the fifty man crew of the first Graney took their boat to sea, or at least around the harbor, for the first time. Sea trials were to begin in three months, but first the sub took baby steps to ensure that everything worked. These harbor trials were seen as major progress. Things went downhill again after that, with a growing number of delays as more and more problems were encountered.
Russian submarine building has been on life support since the Cold War ended in 1991. Many subs under construction at the end of the Cold War were cancelled, and the few that avoided that spent a decade or more waiting for enough money to get finished. The first Graney crew was put together six years ago, and has been training, and waiting, ever since. The crew now continues training on their new boat, which was supposed to have entered service by now.
Three years ago, construction began on a second Graney. Russia plans to complete six boats of this class by the end of the decade. Construction of the first Graney class boat, the Severodvinsk, began in 1993, but lack of money led to numerous delays. Originally, the Severodvinsk was to have entered service in 1998. Work on the Severodvinsk was resumed eight years ago. If work is not interrupted, the second Graney class boat should be ready in less than five years.
This says “complete six boats . . . by the end of the decade.” And that’s a stretch.
And regarding aircraft carriers, does Rogozin the Ridiculous have any clue as how long they take to build? The USS Gerald Ford began construction in 2005, and will be completed in 2015. Ten years. And we have decades in experience building CVs. Now presumably the Russians will be building a much less advanced design, but they don’t have experience, and have a horrible track record at their shipyards.
An aircraft carrier a year. Really.
But here’s a thought: maybe this is related to the earlier story regarding Rogozin’s demand that Russians make Russian military toys. So maybe, just maybe, what he means is that Russia will build 6 toy subs and 1 toy aircraft carrier a year.
That’s certainly a far more realistic goal.